11-11-1 YTD.
4-3-1 LW.
Green Bay (-7)
The G-men are 2-6-1 ATS on the road LY, but they won 2 in a row at home and now the media says they are back. I don't think so. Favre's dome struggles are well documented, even though he was good LW in a losing effort. After dome games, Favre and GB are 14-5 SU and ATS.
The Pack is also 10-0 SU and 8-2 ATS in a game following B2B SU Losses.
The Giants won versus the SKins b/c of 7 turnovers and beat the Brownies who were without 6 starters.
The Pack should get back on track here and will establish Ahman Green early.
Buffalo (+6')
The Pats and Bills both come off a bye week. The Pats are 2-0 and the Bills lost 2 close ones.
Buffalo's defense has been really good the 1st 2 games.
Everyone is on New England and I will go contrarian here.
Houston (+2')
The Texans are 5-2 ATS their L7 as a Home Dog.
I think the Raiders will letdown here after their win over Tampa. That was a game they were really focused on and Oakland has Indy and archrival Denver the next 2 weeks.
Oakland is also not a great road team. They were 1-7 ATS LY (1-0 TY).
Jacksonville (+4')
Better special teams and better defense here.
Home team is 4-1 ATS in this series L5.
The Colts do not have a run stopper and I feel the Jags will be able to run the ball on them and control the clock.
Carolina (-3')
All the trends point to Atlanta, but I like the Panthers here. Atlanta is 3-0 and all of a sudden they are a Super Bowl contender?
The Panthers are 4-1 ATS in division play after a bye and 7-2 ATS as a division Home Fav.
Carolina still has a Top 10 defense and I think will force Michael Vick to do everything himself. Duckett and Dunn can't produce every week and they will get shut down here.
Miami (+6')
Line value play here. Yes, the Jets are good and they were my AFC sleeper at the start of the year and Miami sucks and are on a road to nowhere. However, the Jets are almost giving a TD on the road and Miami still does have a good defense that could keep them in the ball game.
Tampa Bay (+3)
Another Home Dog line value play. Tampa's offense stinks but did get going in the 2nd half LW.
Quintin Griffin and the Bronco rushing attack were stopped the L2 wks. Now they face a top 10 Bucs defense.
I know they are not what they once were, but I don't see Tampa losing 4 in a row out of the gate here.
GL
HD
4-3-1 LW.
Green Bay (-7)
The G-men are 2-6-1 ATS on the road LY, but they won 2 in a row at home and now the media says they are back. I don't think so. Favre's dome struggles are well documented, even though he was good LW in a losing effort. After dome games, Favre and GB are 14-5 SU and ATS.
The Pack is also 10-0 SU and 8-2 ATS in a game following B2B SU Losses.
The Giants won versus the SKins b/c of 7 turnovers and beat the Brownies who were without 6 starters.
The Pack should get back on track here and will establish Ahman Green early.
Buffalo (+6')
The Pats and Bills both come off a bye week. The Pats are 2-0 and the Bills lost 2 close ones.
Buffalo's defense has been really good the 1st 2 games.
Everyone is on New England and I will go contrarian here.
Houston (+2')
The Texans are 5-2 ATS their L7 as a Home Dog.
I think the Raiders will letdown here after their win over Tampa. That was a game they were really focused on and Oakland has Indy and archrival Denver the next 2 weeks.
Oakland is also not a great road team. They were 1-7 ATS LY (1-0 TY).
Jacksonville (+4')
Better special teams and better defense here.
Home team is 4-1 ATS in this series L5.
The Colts do not have a run stopper and I feel the Jags will be able to run the ball on them and control the clock.
Carolina (-3')
All the trends point to Atlanta, but I like the Panthers here. Atlanta is 3-0 and all of a sudden they are a Super Bowl contender?
The Panthers are 4-1 ATS in division play after a bye and 7-2 ATS as a division Home Fav.
Carolina still has a Top 10 defense and I think will force Michael Vick to do everything himself. Duckett and Dunn can't produce every week and they will get shut down here.
Miami (+6')
Line value play here. Yes, the Jets are good and they were my AFC sleeper at the start of the year and Miami sucks and are on a road to nowhere. However, the Jets are almost giving a TD on the road and Miami still does have a good defense that could keep them in the ball game.
Tampa Bay (+3)
Another Home Dog line value play. Tampa's offense stinks but did get going in the 2nd half LW.
Quintin Griffin and the Bronco rushing attack were stopped the L2 wks. Now they face a top 10 Bucs defense.
I know they are not what they once were, but I don't see Tampa losing 4 in a row out of the gate here.
GL
HD
